La escuela de los momios

Northampton Town v Swindon Town

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Northampton Town (Local)

Predicción 43.24%2.31momio equitativo
EV -4.87%
Ventaja -2.21%
Kelly -4.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.43%43.23%43.17%44.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.112.102.2048.78%47.40%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Swindon Town (Visitante)

Predicción 29.65%3.37momio equitativo
EV -5.13%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -2.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.86%29.65%29.74%30.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.103.103.2034.48%32.26%32.26%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.11%3.69momio equitativo
EV -5.11%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.22%27.12%27.09%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.363.353.5030.77%29.77%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 05:18
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 15:43
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 05:15
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 18:25
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.75%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -6.91%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.57%EV -8.37%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 13:25
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 02:45
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 02:44
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -6.60%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -7.50%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -8.37%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 05:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 18:04
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 05:15
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 19:40
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 02:49
betano_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 02:50
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 05:15
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 12:55
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-24 08:34
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 05:15
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 23:39
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-18 05:15
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -10.06%E -4.83%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 16:35
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -10.92%E -5.30%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 05:49
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 15:19
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:49
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:49
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 11:29
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -14.02%E -4.84%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-30 05:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%10.7%2026-07-08 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20