Idioma:Español
Northampton Town v Swindon Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Northampton Town (Local)
Predicción 42.66%2.34momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -2.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.49%42.65%42.79%43.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.042.172.152.2749.02%46.18%46.51%44.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Swindon Town (Visitante)
Predicción 29.87%3.35momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.67%29.91%29.81%31.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.113.103.2033.33%32.12%32.26%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.47%3.64momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -0.860%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.61%27.44%27.40%28.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.343.303.5331.25%29.97%30.30%28.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Northampton Town (Local): 42.66%; Swindon Town (Visitante): 29.87%; Empate: 27.47%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.64. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.53, con un valor esperado de -3.03%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.02%EV -3.15%E -1.39%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -8.01%E -2.60%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.02%EV -3.03%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.32%EV -5.71%E -2.59%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -6.81%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -6.81%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -7.42%E -3.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.09%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.50%EV -6.22%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -7.15%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 12:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 12:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 12:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.56%EV -12.97%E -6.36%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.56%EV -12.97%E -6.36%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |