Language:English
Northampton Town v Crawley Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Northampton Town (Local)
Prediction 57.06%1.75fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -4.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.28%57.03%56.96%59.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.641.631.7064.52%61.00%61.35%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crawley Town (Visit)
Prediction 19.16%5.22fair odd
EV +0.570%
Edge +0.109%
Kelly +0.134%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.68%19.22%19.12%21.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.684.755.2524.39%21.35%21.05%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.78%4.20fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.255%
Kelly +0.333%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.26%23.75%23.92%25.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.833.834.2528.17%26.14%26.11%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northampton Town (Local): 57.06%; Crawley Town (Visit): 19.16%; Draw: 23.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.06%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.57%EV -1.92%E -0.375%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV +1.08%E +0.255%K +0.333%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -0.106%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -0.106%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -9.28%E -5.83%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -9.85%E -6.23%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -9.85%E -6.23%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +0.570%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +0.570%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.56%E -7.46%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -0.388%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.45%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -7.09%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.48%EV -6.29%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -10.42%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.04%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.41%EV -2.69%E -0.529%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.55%EV -9.38%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 18:38 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.87%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -12.00%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -7.09%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -13.19%E -3.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 05:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 05:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 05:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 05:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 05:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 05:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 05:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 05:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 05:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -15.57%E -4.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -21.46%E -5.23%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.57%E -4.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-01 05:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -21.46%E -5.23%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.57%E -4.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-01 05:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.63% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.88% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |