Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Northampton Town v Crawley Town

Início: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Final: Northampton Town 1–1 Crawley Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Northampton Town (Local)

Previsão 57.06%1.75odd justa
EV -3.00%
Vantagem -1.76%
Kelly -4.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.28%57.03%56.96%59.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.641.631.7064.52%61.00%61.35%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Crawley Town (Visitante)

Previsão 19.16%5.22odd justa
EV +0.570%
Vantagem +0.109%
Kelly +0.134%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.68%19.22%19.12%21.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.684.755.2524.39%21.35%21.05%19.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.78%4.20odd justa
EV +1.08%
Vantagem +0.255%
Kelly +0.333%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.26%23.75%23.92%25.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.553.833.834.2528.17%26.14%26.11%23.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Northampton Town (Local): 57.06%; Crawley Town (Visitante): 19.16%; Empate: 23.78%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.20. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.08%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.06%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.57%EV -1.92%E -0.375%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV +1.08%E +0.255%K +0.333%G +0.004%5.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -0.106%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -0.106%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:30
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -9.28%E -5.83%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -9.85%E -6.23%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -9.85%E -6.23%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:30
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +0.570%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +0.570%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:39
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.56%E -7.46%K -21.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -0.388%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.45%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -7.09%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.48%EV -6.29%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 18:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -10.42%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:40
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 18:30
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.04%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.41%EV -2.69%E -0.529%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.55%EV -9.38%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:38
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.87%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -12.00%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -7.09%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -13.19%E -3.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:54
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:54
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:54
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -15.57%E -4.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -21.46%E -5.23%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.57%E -4.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -21.46%E -5.23%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.57%E -4.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 05:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.88%2.1%2026-09-01 18:40