Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Northampton Town v Crawley Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Score final : Northampton Town 1–1 Crawley Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Northampton Town (Local)

Prévision 57.06%1.75cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -4.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.28%57.03%56.96%59.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.641.631.7064.52%61.00%61.35%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Crawley Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.16%5.22cote équitable
EV +0.570%
Avantage +0.109%
Kelly +0.134%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.68%19.22%19.12%21.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.684.755.2524.39%21.35%21.05%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.78%4.20cote équitable
EV +1.08%
Avantage +0.255%
Kelly +0.333%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.26%23.75%23.92%25.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.833.834.2528.17%26.14%26.11%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Northampton Town (Local) : 57.06% ; Crawley Town (Visiteur) : 19.16% ; Match nul : 23.78%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.20. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.25, soit une espérance positive de +1.08%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.06%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.57%EV -1.92%E -0.375%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV +1.08%E +0.255%K +0.333%G +0.004%5.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -0.106%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -0.106%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:30
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -9.28%E -5.83%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -9.85%E -6.23%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -9.85%E -6.23%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:30
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +0.570%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +0.570%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:39
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.56%E -7.46%K -21.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -0.388%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.45%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -7.09%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.48%EV -6.29%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 18:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -10.42%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:40
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 18:30
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.04%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.41%EV -2.69%E -0.529%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.55%EV -9.38%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:38
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.87%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -12.00%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -7.09%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -13.19%E -3.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:54
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:54
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:54
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -15.57%E -4.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -21.46%E -5.23%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.57%E -4.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -21.46%E -5.23%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.57%E -4.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 05:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.88%2.1%2026-09-01 18:40