StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Northampton Town v Crawley Town

Matchstart: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Northampton Town 1–1 Crawley Town

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Northampton Town (Hemma)

Prognos 57.06%1.75rättvist odds
EV -3.00%
Fördel -1.76%
Kelly -4.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.28%57.03%56.96%59.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.551.641.631.7064.52%61.00%61.35%58.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Crawley Town (Borta)

Prognos 19.16%5.22rättvist odds
EV +0.570%
Fördel +0.109%
Kelly +0.134%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.68%19.22%19.12%21.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.104.684.755.2524.39%21.35%21.05%19.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.78%4.20rättvist odds
EV +1.08%
Fördel +0.255%
Kelly +0.333%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.26%23.75%23.92%25.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.553.833.834.2528.17%26.14%26.11%23.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Northampton Town (Hemma): 57.06%; Crawley Town (Borta): 19.16%; Oavgjort: 23.78%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.20. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.08%.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.06%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.57%EV -1.92%E -0.375%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV +1.08%E +0.255%K +0.333%G +0.004%5.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -0.106%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -0.106%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:30
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -9.28%E -5.83%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -9.85%E -6.23%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -9.85%E -6.23%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:30
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +0.570%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +0.570%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:39
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.56%E -7.46%K -21.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -0.388%E -0.075%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.45%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -7.09%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.48%EV -6.29%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 18:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -10.42%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -4.22%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:40
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 18:30
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.04%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.41%EV -2.69%E -0.529%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.55%EV -9.38%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:38
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.05%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.87%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -11.88%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -12.00%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -7.09%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -13.19%E -3.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:54
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:54
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:54
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -3.00%E -1.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 05:55
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -19.54%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -15.57%E -4.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -21.46%E -5.23%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.57%E -4.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -21.46%E -5.23%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.57%E -4.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 05:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.88%2.1%2026-09-01 18:40