Language:English
Newport County v Tranmere Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newport County (Local)
Prediction 36.34%2.75fair odd
EV -0.069%
Edge -0.025%
Kelly -0.040%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.28%36.16%36.31%38.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.27%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tranmere Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 34.89%2.87fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.824%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.83%35.05%34.93%38.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.582.602.8042.02%38.83%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.77%3.48fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.11%28.79%28.76%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.203.203.3532.26%31.26%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newport County (Local): 36.34%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 34.89%; Draw: 28.77%. For Newport County (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.752. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.750, with an expected value of -0.069%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.18%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.18%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 19:37 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.34%EV -8.22%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.29%EV -6.97%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.22%EV -2.66%E -0.952%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -3.62%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 19:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.63%EV -8.06%E -3.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.58%EV -6.49%E -2.42%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -7.36%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -8.43%E -3.34%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -5.10%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -8.43%E -3.34%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -5.10%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-03 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -12.79%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 1.4% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |