StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Newport County v Tranmere Rovers

Matchstart: 2026-03-03 19:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Newport County (Hemma)

Prognos 36.34%2.75rättvist odds
EV -0.069%
Fördel -0.025%
Kelly -0.040%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.28%36.16%36.31%38.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.27%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Tranmere Rovers (Borta)

Prognos 34.89%2.87rättvist odds
EV -2.31%
Fördel -0.824%
Kelly -1.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.83%35.05%34.93%38.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.382.582.602.8042.02%38.83%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.77%3.48rättvist odds
EV -3.62%
Fördel -1.08%
Kelly -1.54%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.11%28.79%28.76%29.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.203.203.3532.26%31.26%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Newport County (Hemma): 36.34%; Tranmere Rovers (Borta): 34.89%; Oavgjort: 28.77%. För Newport County (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.752. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.750, med väntevärdet -0.069%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:10
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.18%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.18%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 19:10
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 18:25
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 19:30
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 19:20
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:37
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.34%EV -8.22%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 19:35
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 17:05
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.29%EV -6.97%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.22%EV -2.66%E -0.952%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -3.62%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 19:35
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:30
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:10
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:18
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:35
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.63%EV -8.06%E -3.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.58%EV -6.49%E -2.42%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -7.36%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:40
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -8.43%E -3.34%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -5.10%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 19:20
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -8.43%E -3.34%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -5.10%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 19:20
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 19:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 19:20
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:20
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 19:20
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-03 19:15
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -12.79%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-03 19:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-03 19:40
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-03 19:26
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%1.4%2026-03-03 19:40