A Escola das Odds

Newport County v Tranmere Rovers

Início: 2026-03-03 19:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Newport County (Local)

Previsão 36.34%2.75odd justa
EV -0.069%
Vantagem -0.025%
Kelly -0.040%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.28%36.16%36.31%38.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.27%38.46%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tranmere Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 34.89%2.87odd justa
EV -2.31%
Vantagem -0.824%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.83%35.05%34.93%38.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.582.602.8042.02%38.83%38.46%35.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.77%3.48odd justa
EV -3.62%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -1.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.11%28.79%28.76%29.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.203.203.3532.26%31.26%31.25%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:10
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 16:25
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 16:25
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.18%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 19:20
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.18%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 19:10
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 18:25
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 18:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 19:30
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 19:20
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:37
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.34%EV -8.22%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 19:35
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 17:05
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.29%EV -6.97%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.22%EV -2.66%E -0.952%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -3.62%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 19:35
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:30
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:30
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:30
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:30
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:10
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:18
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:35
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 19:30
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.63%EV -8.06%E -3.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.58%EV -6.49%E -2.42%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -7.36%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:40
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -8.43%E -3.34%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -5.10%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 19:20
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -8.43%E -3.34%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -5.10%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 19:20
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 19:20
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 19:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:20
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:20
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 19:20
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-03 19:15
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -12.79%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-03 19:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-03 19:40
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-03 19:26
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%1.4%2026-03-03 19:40