L’École des cotes

Newport County v Tranmere Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-03 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Newport County (Local)

Prévision 36.34%2.75cote équitable
EV -0.069%
Avantage -0.025%
Kelly -0.040%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.28%36.16%36.31%38.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.27%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.89%2.87cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.824%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.83%35.05%34.93%38.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.582.602.8042.02%38.83%38.46%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.77%3.48cote équitable
EV -3.62%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.11%28.79%28.76%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.203.203.3532.26%31.26%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -16.26%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:10
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 16:25
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -1.89%E -0.699%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 16:25
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.18%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 19:20
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.18%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.31%E -0.824%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 19:10
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 18:25
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -3.70%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 18:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.79%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 19:30
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 19:20
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:37
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.34%EV -8.22%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 19:35
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 17:05
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.29%EV -6.97%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.22%EV -2.66%E -0.952%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -3.62%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 19:35
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:30
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:30
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:30
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:30
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:10
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:18
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 19:35
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 19:30
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.63%EV -8.06%E -3.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.58%EV -6.49%E -2.42%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -7.36%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:40
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -8.43%E -3.34%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -5.10%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 19:20
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -8.43%E -3.34%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -5.10%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 19:20
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 19:20
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 19:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:20
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.15%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:20
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 19:20
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-03 19:15
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -12.79%E -5.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-03 19:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-03 19:40
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-03 19:26
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%1.4%2026-03-03 19:40