Language:English
Newport County v Shrewsbury Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newport County (Local)
Prediction 39.95%2.50fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.870%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.75%39.87%39.98%40.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.56%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shrewsbury Town (Visit)
Prediction 30.59%3.27fair odd
EV +0.349%
Edge +0.106%
Kelly +0.153%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.12%30.66%30.57%32.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.952.953.2835.71%33.87%33.90%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.46%3.39fair odd
EV +0.164%
Edge +0.048%
Kelly +0.068%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.39%29.47%29.46%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.123.103.4035.71%32.06%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newport County (Local): 39.95%; Shrewsbury Town (Visit): 30.59%; Draw: 29.46%. For Shrewsbury Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.349%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.65%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.12%EV +0.349%E +0.106%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.23%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.66%EV -3.93%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.85%EV -8.09%E -2.59%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -4.55%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -8.09%E -2.59%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 22:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 22:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 22:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 06:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -13.09%E -4.44%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -4.93%E -2.07%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-26 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.93%E -2.07%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-27 22:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-27 22:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-27 22:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 21:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.88%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -10.05%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.65%EV -4.84%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.88%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -10.05%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.65%EV -4.84%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV +0.164%E +0.048%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -11.89%E -4.13%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -17.51%E -6.25%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-26 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -2.13%E -0.870%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.88%EV -12.19%E -4.25%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -12.19%E -4.25%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-25 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-25 21:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -14.34%E -5.12%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -14.34%E -5.12%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -14.34%E -5.12%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59% | 2.4% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.99% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77% | 3.3% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |