La scuola delle quote

Newport County v Shrewsbury Town

Inizio: 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Newport County (Casa)

Previsione 39.95%2.50quota equa
EV -2.13%
Vantaggio -0.870%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.75%39.87%39.98%40.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.56%42.55%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shrewsbury Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.59%3.27quota equa
EV +0.349%
Vantaggio +0.106%
Kelly +0.153%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.12%30.66%30.57%32.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.952.953.2835.71%33.87%33.90%30.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.46%3.39quota equa
EV +0.164%
Vantaggio +0.048%
Kelly +0.068%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.39%29.47%29.46%31.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.123.103.4035.71%32.06%32.26%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.65%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.12%EV +0.349%E +0.106%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.23%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 03:05
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 21:40
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 21:40
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.66%EV -3.93%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.85%EV -8.09%E -2.59%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 22:35
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -4.55%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -8.09%E -2.59%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 22:29
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 22:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 22:09
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 22:15
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 06:25
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -13.09%E -4.44%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-27 21:40
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -4.93%E -2.07%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 15:05
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.93%E -2.07%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 22:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 15:04
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 15:04
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 15:04
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 21:40
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 22:04
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 22:09
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 22:04
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 22:05
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-27 21:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 06:24
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-26 15:04
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 21:45
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 15:04
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 21:45
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 39.88%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -10.05%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.65%EV -4.84%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 01:05
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 39.88%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -10.05%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.65%EV -4.84%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 01:05
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV +0.164%E +0.048%K +0.068%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 15:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-26 15:04
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -11.89%E -4.13%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -17.51%E -6.25%K -9.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-26 18:25
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -2.13%E -0.870%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.88%EV -12.19%E -4.25%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -12.19%E -4.25%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 20:04
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 20:04
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 21:20
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:45
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:45
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -14.34%E -5.12%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 18:45
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -14.34%E -5.12%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 18:44
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -14.34%E -5.12%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 18:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-03-28 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59%2.4%2026-03-28 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59%2.4%2026-03-28 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59%2.4%2026-03-27 22:35
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 39.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%3.3%2026-03-28 03:05