مدرسة الاحتمالات

Newport County v Shrewsbury Town

البداية: 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Newport County (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.95%2.50السعر العادل
EV -2.13%
الأفضلية -0.870%
Kelly -1.47%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.75%39.87%39.98%40.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.56%42.55%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Shrewsbury Town (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.59%3.27السعر العادل
EV +0.349%
الأفضلية +0.106%
Kelly +0.153%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.12%30.66%30.57%32.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.802.952.953.2835.71%33.87%33.90%30.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.46%3.39السعر العادل
EV +0.164%
الأفضلية +0.048%
Kelly +0.068%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.39%29.47%29.46%31.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.123.103.4035.71%32.06%32.26%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.65%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.12%EV +0.349%E +0.106%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.23%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 03:05
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 21:40
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 21:40
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.66%EV -3.93%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.85%EV -8.09%E -2.59%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 22:35
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -4.55%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -8.09%E -2.59%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 22:29
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 22:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 22:09
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 22:15
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 06:25
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -13.09%E -4.44%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-27 21:40
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -4.93%E -2.07%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 15:05
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.93%E -2.07%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 22:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 15:04
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 15:04
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 15:04
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 21:40
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 22:04
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 22:09
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 22:04
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 22:05
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-27 21:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 06:24
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-26 15:04
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 21:45
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 15:04
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 21:45
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 39.88%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -10.05%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.65%EV -4.84%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 01:05
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 39.88%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -10.05%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.65%EV -4.84%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 01:05
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV +0.164%E +0.048%K +0.068%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 15:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-26 15:04
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -11.89%E -4.13%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -17.51%E -6.25%K -9.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-26 18:25
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -2.13%E -0.870%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.88%EV -12.19%E -4.25%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -12.19%E -4.25%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 20:04
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 20:04
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 21:20
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:45
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:44
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 18:45
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -14.34%E -5.12%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 18:45
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -14.34%E -5.12%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 18:44
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -14.34%E -5.12%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 18:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-03-28 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59%2.4%2026-03-28 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59%2.4%2026-03-28 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59%2.4%2026-03-27 22:35
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 39.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%3.3%2026-03-28 03:05