La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Newport County v Shrewsbury Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Newport County (Local)
Predicción 39.95%2.50momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -0.870%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.75%39.87%39.98%40.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.56%42.55%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shrewsbury Town (Visitante)
Predicción 30.59%3.27momio equitativo
EV +0.349%
Ventaja +0.106%
Kelly +0.153%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.12%30.66%30.57%32.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.952.953.2835.71%33.87%33.90%30.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.46%3.39momio equitativo
EV +0.164%
Ventaja +0.048%
Kelly +0.068%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.39%29.47%29.46%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.103.4035.71%32.06%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.65%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.12%EV +0.349%E +0.106%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.23%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.66%EV -3.93%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.85%EV -8.09%E -2.59%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -4.55%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -8.09%E -2.59%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 22:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 22:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 22:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 06:25 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -13.09%E -4.44%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -4.93%E -2.07%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-26 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.93%E -2.07%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 22:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-27 22:04 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-27 22:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-27 22:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.12%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.13%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 21:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.75%E -3.30%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.88%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -10.05%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.65%EV -4.84%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.88%EV -7.33%E -3.16%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -10.05%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.65%EV -4.84%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV +0.164%E +0.048%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -11.89%E -4.13%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -17.51%E -6.25%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-26 18:25 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -2.13%E -0.870%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.88%EV -12.19%E -4.25%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -12.19%E -4.25%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-25 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-25 21:20 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| betPARX | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.81%E -4.49%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 18:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -14.34%E -5.12%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -14.34%E -5.12%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -14.34%E -5.12%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 18:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59% | 2.4% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.99% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77% | 3.3% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |