Language:English
Newport County v Harrogate Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newport County (Local)
Prediction 40.91%2.44fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.69%40.88%40.86%41.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.252.252.3746.08%44.42%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Harrogate Town (Visit)
Prediction 30.22%3.31fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.835%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.68%30.24%30.26%31.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.053.2235.71%32.94%32.79%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.87%3.46fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -0.774%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.88%28.88%30.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.203.253.4034.72%31.28%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newport County (Local): 40.91%; Harrogate Town (Visit): 30.22%; Draw: 28.87%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.86%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -3.03%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.62%EV -2.69%E -0.835%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.15%EV -5.71%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -12.36%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 08:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -12.96%E -4.50%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 13:33 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.72%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.72%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.49%EV -7.54%E -3.33%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.49%EV -7.54%E -3.33%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -13.27%E -4.62%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 08:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -15.38%E -5.49%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -16.87%E -5.86%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-11 13:27 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |