Школа коэффициентов

Newport County v Harrogate Town

Начало: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Итог: Newport County 2–1 Harrogate Town

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

50 букмекерских контор (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Newport County (Хозяева)

Прогноз 40.91%2.44справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.03%
Преимущество -1.28%
Kelly -2.22%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.37

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.69%40.88%40.86%41.72%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.172.252.252.3746.08%44.42%44.44%42.19%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Harrogate Town (Гости)

Прогноз 30.22%3.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.69%
Преимущество -0.835%
Kelly -1.21%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.22

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.68%30.24%30.26%31.86%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.043.053.2235.71%32.94%32.79%31.06%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.87%3.46справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.86%
Преимущество -0.546%
Kelly -0.774%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.44%28.88%28.88%30.29%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.203.253.4034.72%31.28%30.77%29.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -3.03%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:35
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:34
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.62%EV -2.69%E -0.835%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 13:50
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:40
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 13:55
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.15%EV -5.71%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:54
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:45
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:54
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -12.36%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 08:34
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -12.96%E -4.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:04
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:40
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 13:34
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 13:33
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 13:35
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 13:34
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.72%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.72%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:55
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.49%EV -7.54%E -3.33%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:34
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.49%EV -7.54%E -3.33%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:35
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:54
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:45
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:54
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:35
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:40
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:40
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:45
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -13.27%E -4.62%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 08:34
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -15.38%E -5.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -16.87%E -5.86%K -8.97%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-11 13:27
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:49
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:20
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:19
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:20
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:19
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:19
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:19
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:20
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:19
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:40
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:55
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:34
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 13:20
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 13:20
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 13:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%2.4%2026-04-11 13:55