La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Newport County v Harrogate Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Newport County (Local)
Predicción 40.91%2.44momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.69%40.88%40.86%41.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.252.252.3746.08%44.42%44.44%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Harrogate Town (Visitante)
Predicción 30.22%3.31momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -0.835%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.68%30.24%30.26%31.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.053.2235.71%32.94%32.79%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.87%3.46momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -0.546%
Kelly -0.774%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%28.88%28.88%30.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.203.253.4034.72%31.28%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -3.03%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.62%EV -2.69%E -0.835%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.15%EV -5.71%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -12.36%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 08:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -12.96%E -4.50%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 13:33 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.72%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.72%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.49%EV -7.54%E -3.33%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.49%EV -7.54%E -3.33%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -13.27%E -4.62%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 08:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -15.38%E -5.49%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -16.87%E -5.86%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-11 13:27 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |