赔率学院

Newport County v Harrogate Town

开赛时间: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

最终结果: Newport County 2–1 Harrogate Town

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Newport County (主队)

预测 40.91%2.44公平赔率
EV -3.03%
优势 -1.28%
Kelly -2.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.37

博彩公司预测分布
38.69%40.88%40.86%41.72%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.172.252.252.3746.08%44.42%44.44%42.19%MIN均值中位数MAX

Harrogate Town (客队)

预测 30.22%3.31公平赔率
EV -2.69%
优势 -0.835%
Kelly -1.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.22

博彩公司预测分布
28.68%30.24%30.26%31.86%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.803.043.053.2235.71%32.94%32.79%31.06%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 28.87%3.46公平赔率
EV -1.86%
优势 -0.546%
Kelly -0.774%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.44%28.88%28.88%30.29%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.883.203.253.4034.72%31.28%30.77%29.41%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -3.03%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:35
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:34
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.62%EV -2.69%E -0.835%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 13:50
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:40
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 13:55
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.15%EV -5.71%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:54
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:45
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:54
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -12.36%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 08:34
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -12.96%E -4.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:04
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:40
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 13:34
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 13:33
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 13:35
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 13:34
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.72%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.72%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:55
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.49%EV -7.54%E -3.33%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:34
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.49%EV -7.54%E -3.33%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:35
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:54
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:45
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:54
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:35
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:40
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:40
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:45
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -13.27%E -4.62%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 08:34
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -15.38%E -5.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -16.87%E -5.86%K -8.97%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-11 13:27
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:49
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:20
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:19
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:20
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:19
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:19
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:19
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:20
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:19
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:40
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.83%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:55
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:34
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 13:20
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 13:20
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 13:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%2.4%2026-04-11 13:55