Language:English
Milton Keynes Dons v Tranmere Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milton Keynes Dons (Local)
Prediction 67.28%1.49fair odd
EV -5.13%
Edge -3.64%
Kelly -12.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.51%67.24%67.33%69.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4175.76%73.33%73.53%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tranmere Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 12.50%8.00fair odd
EV +6.25%
Edge +0.735%
Kelly +0.833%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.89%12.53%12.50%14.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.487.508.5015.38%13.36%13.33%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.22%4.95fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.616%
Kelly -0.778%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.11%20.23%20.18%22.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.614.604.8025.00%21.69%21.74%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milton Keynes Dons (Local): 67.28%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 12.50%; Draw: 20.22%. For Tranmere Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.00. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.14%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +6.25%E +0.735%K +0.833%G +0.052% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 23:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV +6.25%E +0.735%K +0.833%G +0.052% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 11:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 20:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.02%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 20:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 08:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 23:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.19%EV -9.17%E -6.79%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.80%EV -2.50%E -0.321%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 13:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.09%EV -3.75%E -0.487%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.46%EV -8.01%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.61%EV -7.82%E -5.71%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.03%EV -3.75%E -0.487%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -8.01%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 02:42 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 12:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.48%E -4.66%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -4.98%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 00:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 11:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.02%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.02%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -11.19%E -8.47%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -11.19%E -8.47%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -11.19%E -8.47%K -34.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -19.13%E -4.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-22 09:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.31%EV -6.48%E -4.66%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 7.47I 13.39%NM 12.53%EV -6.63%E -0.887%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.16%EV -6.19%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -7.50%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -10.03%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 23:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -7.50%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -10.03%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 23:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.06%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.67%EV -10.00%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.02%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.46%E -2.88%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 12:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-24 02:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -15.00%E -2.21%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -15.00%E -2.21%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.94%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -15.00%E -2.21%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 11:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.94%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -15.00%E -2.21%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 11:03 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -15.63%E -2.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.56%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -15.63%E -2.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -13.07%E -3.04%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-24 00:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.06%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.02%EV -15.63%E -2.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -15.09%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -18.75%E -2.88%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.02%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.55% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.58% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87% | 2.7% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.55% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.58% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87% | 2.7% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.55% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.58% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87% | 2.7% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.70% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.53% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.97% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.10% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |