La escuela de los momios

Milton Keynes Dons v Tranmere Rovers

Inicio: 2026-04-25 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milton Keynes Dons (Local)

Predicción 67.28%1.49momio equitativo
EV -5.13%
Ventaja -3.64%
Kelly -12.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.51%67.24%67.33%69.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.361.361.4175.76%73.33%73.53%70.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tranmere Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 12.50%8.00momio equitativo
EV +6.25%
Ventaja +0.735%
Kelly +0.833%
Crecimiento +0.052%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.89%12.53%12.50%14.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.487.508.5015.38%13.36%13.33%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.22%4.95momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -0.616%
Kelly -0.778%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.11%20.23%20.18%22.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.614.604.8025.00%21.69%21.74%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.14%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +6.25%E +0.735%K +0.833%G +0.052%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 23:13
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV +6.25%E +0.735%K +0.833%G +0.052%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 11:33
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 20:00
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.02%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 20:01
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 08:14
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:14
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:14
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:20
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:15
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:20
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:15
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:19
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:15
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:14
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:15
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 23:35
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.19%EV -9.17%E -6.79%K -26.19%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.80%EV -2.50%E -0.321%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 13:40
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.09%EV -3.75%E -0.487%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.46%EV -8.01%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 00:34
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.61%EV -7.82%E -5.71%K -21.14%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.03%EV -3.75%E -0.487%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -8.01%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 02:42
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 12:44
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.48%E -4.66%K -16.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -4.98%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 13:39
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 00:45
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 11:35
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 09:19
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.02%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.02%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 20:00
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -11.19%E -8.47%K -34.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -11.19%E -8.47%K -34.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:15
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -11.19%E -8.47%K -34.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -19.13%E -4.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-22 09:39
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 67.31%EV -6.48%E -4.66%K -16.61%G +0.000%7.47I 13.39%NM 12.53%EV -6.63%E -0.887%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.16%EV -6.19%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -7.50%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -10.03%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 23:34
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -7.50%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -10.03%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 23:34
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.06%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.67%EV -10.00%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.02%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 13:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 13:39
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 13:40
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 13:39
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 13:39
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 13:40
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.46%E -2.88%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 12:40
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 02:48
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 02:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -15.00%E -2.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 13:39
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -15.00%E -2.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 13:39
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 65.94%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -15.00%E -2.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 11:04
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 65.94%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -15.00%E -2.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 11:03
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -15.63%E -2.32%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 13:40
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.56%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -15.63%E -2.32%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -13.07%E -3.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-24 00:24
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 66.06%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.02%EV -15.63%E -2.32%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -15.09%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-24 03:20
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -18.75%E -2.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.02%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.55%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%2.7%2026-04-24 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.55%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%2.7%2026-04-24 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.55%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%2.7%2026-04-24 01:30
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 69.70%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.53%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%3.2%2026-04-24 02:50
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.97%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.10%3.6%2026-04-24 01:35