L’École des cotes

Milton Keynes Dons v Tranmere Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 11:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milton Keynes Dons (Local)

Prévision 67.28%1.49cote équitable
EV -5.13%
Avantage -3.64%
Kelly -12.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.51%67.24%67.33%69.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.361.361.4175.76%73.33%73.53%70.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.50%8.00cote équitable
EV +6.25%
Avantage +0.735%
Kelly +0.833%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.89%12.53%12.50%14.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.487.508.5015.38%13.36%13.33%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.22%4.95cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -0.616%
Kelly -0.778%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.11%20.23%20.18%22.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.614.604.8025.00%21.69%21.74%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.14%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +6.25%E +0.735%K +0.833%G +0.052%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 23:13
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV +6.25%E +0.735%K +0.833%G +0.052%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 11:33
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 20:00
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.02%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 20:01
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 08:14
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:14
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:14
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:20
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:15
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:20
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:15
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:19
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:15
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:14
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:15
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 23:35
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.19%EV -9.17%E -6.79%K -26.19%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.80%EV -2.50%E -0.321%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 13:40
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.09%EV -3.75%E -0.487%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.46%EV -8.01%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 00:34
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.61%EV -7.82%E -5.71%K -21.14%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.03%EV -3.75%E -0.487%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -8.01%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 02:42
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 12:44
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.48%E -4.66%K -16.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -4.98%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 13:39
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 00:45
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 11:35
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 09:19
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.02%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.02%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 20:00
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -11.19%E -8.47%K -34.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -11.19%E -8.47%K -34.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:15
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -11.19%E -8.47%K -34.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -6.25%E -0.834%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -19.13%E -4.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-22 09:39
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 67.31%EV -6.48%E -4.66%K -16.61%G +0.000%7.47I 13.39%NM 12.53%EV -6.63%E -0.887%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.16%EV -6.19%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -7.50%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -10.03%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 23:34
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -7.50%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -10.03%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 23:34
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.06%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.67%EV -10.00%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.02%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 13:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -2.96%E -0.616%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 13:39
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 13:40
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 13:39
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 13:39
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 13:40
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -12.46%E -2.88%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 12:40
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 02:48
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -12.50%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.00%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 02:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -15.00%E -2.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 13:39
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -15.00%E -2.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 13:39
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 65.94%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -15.00%E -2.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 11:04
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 65.94%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -15.00%E -2.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -11.04%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 11:03
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -15.63%E -2.32%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -3.97%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 13:40
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.56%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -15.63%E -2.32%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -13.07%E -3.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-24 00:24
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 66.06%EV -10.51%E -7.91%K -31.86%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.02%EV -15.63%E -2.32%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -15.09%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-24 03:20
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.80%E -4.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -18.75%E -2.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.02%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.55%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%2.7%2026-04-24 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.55%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%2.7%2026-04-24 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.55%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%2.7%2026-04-24 01:30
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 69.70%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.53%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%3.2%2026-04-24 02:50
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.97%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.10%3.6%2026-04-24 01:35