Language:English
Harrogate Town v Colchester United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Harrogate Town (Local)
Prediction 29.82%3.35fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -0.949%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.91%29.82%29.92%31.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.063.053.2534.48%32.71%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colchester United (Visit)
Prediction 42.29%2.36fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.79%42.22%42.28%44.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.172.3050.00%45.91%46.08%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.89%3.58fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.677%
Kelly -0.948%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.71%27.96%27.80%29.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.72%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harrogate Town (Local): 29.82%; Colchester United (Visit): 42.29%; Draw: 27.89%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -2.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.09%E -0.949%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.37%E -0.677%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -3.68%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.08%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -6.83%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.90%EV -4.87%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.77%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -2.65%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.06%EV -6.96%E -2.23%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.16%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -15.43%E -7.71%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 13:51 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.03%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.36%EV -8.66%E -4.01%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.36%EV -8.66%E -4.01%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.36%EV -8.66%E -4.01%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -13.52%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.18%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -13.52%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -10.35%E -4.88%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33% | 200.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |