مدرسة الاحتمالات

Harrogate Town v Colchester United

البداية: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Harrogate Town 1–0 Colchester United

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Harrogate Town (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.82%3.35السعر العادل
EV -3.09%
الأفضلية -0.949%
Kelly -1.37%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.91%29.82%29.92%31.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.063.053.2534.48%32.71%32.79%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Colchester United (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.29%2.36السعر العادل
EV -2.74%
الأفضلية -1.19%
Kelly -2.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.79%42.22%42.28%44.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.182.172.3050.00%45.91%46.08%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.89%3.58السعر العادل
EV -2.37%
الأفضلية -0.677%
Kelly -0.948%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.71%27.96%27.80%29.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.72%30.77%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.09%E -0.949%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.37%E -0.677%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 14:00
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -3.68%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.08%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -6.83%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 14:00
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle3.19I 31.35%NM 29.90%EV -4.87%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.77%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -2.65%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 29.06%EV -6.96%E -2.23%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.16%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:59
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -15.43%E -7.71%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:51
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.03%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:58
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:59
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.36%EV -8.66%E -4.01%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.36%EV -8.66%E -4.01%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.36%EV -8.66%E -4.01%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -13.52%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.18%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -13.52%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -10.35%E -4.88%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 14:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%8.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%200.0%2026-04-18 14:00