La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Harrogate Town v Colchester United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Harrogate Town (Local)
Predicción 29.82%3.35momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -0.949%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.91%29.82%29.92%31.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.063.053.2534.48%32.71%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Colchester United (Visitante)
Predicción 42.29%2.36momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.79%42.22%42.28%44.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.182.172.3050.00%45.91%46.08%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.89%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.677%
Kelly -0.948%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.71%27.96%27.80%29.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.72%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.09%E -0.949%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.37%E -0.677%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -3.68%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.08%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -6.83%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.90%EV -4.87%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.77%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -2.65%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bovada | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.06%EV -6.96%E -2.23%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.16%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -15.43%E -7.71%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Neds | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 13:51 |
| betPARX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.03%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.36%EV -8.66%E -4.01%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.36%EV -8.66%E -4.01%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.36%EV -8.66%E -4.01%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -13.52%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.18%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -13.52%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -10.35%E -4.88%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33% | 200.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |