La scuola delle quote

Harrogate Town v Colchester United

Inizio: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Finale: Harrogate Town 1–0 Colchester United

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Harrogate Town (Casa)

Previsione 29.82%3.35quota equa
EV -3.09%
Vantaggio -0.949%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.91%29.82%29.92%31.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.063.053.2534.48%32.71%32.79%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Colchester United (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.29%2.36quota equa
EV -2.74%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -2.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.79%42.22%42.28%44.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.182.172.3050.00%45.91%46.08%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.89%3.58quota equa
EV -2.37%
Vantaggio -0.677%
Kelly -0.948%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.71%27.96%27.80%29.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.72%30.77%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.09%E -0.949%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.37%E -0.677%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 14:00
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -3.68%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.08%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -6.83%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 14:00
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle3.19I 31.35%NM 29.90%EV -4.87%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.77%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -2.65%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 29.06%EV -6.96%E -2.23%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.16%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:59
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -15.43%E -7.71%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:51
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.03%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:58
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:59
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.36%EV -8.66%E -4.01%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.36%EV -8.66%E -4.01%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.36%EV -8.66%E -4.01%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -13.52%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.18%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -13.52%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -10.35%E -4.88%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%8.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%200.0%2026-04-18 14:00