Language:English
Grimsby Town v Swindon Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grimsby Town (Local)
Prediction 53.08%1.88fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -5.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.57%53.10%53.03%55.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.751.8060.61%57.43%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Swindon Town (Visit)
Prediction 22.28%4.49fair odd
EV +0.267%
Edge +0.059%
Kelly +0.076%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.83%22.23%22.31%23.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.134.104.5025.00%24.23%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.64%4.06fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -0.998%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%24.67%24.66%26.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.713.703.9030.77%26.95%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grimsby Town (Local): 53.08%; Swindon Town (Visit): 22.28%; Draw: 24.64%. For Swindon Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.267%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +0.267%E +0.059%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.59%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 09:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -12.43%E -7.53%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -1.96%E -0.446%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -3.89%E -0.998%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 04:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -3.52%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.88%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 21.96%EV -4.86%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.16%EV -4.38%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 20:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 20:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.89%E -0.998%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 14:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.56%EV -6.85%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 00:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -9.24%E -5.40%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 00:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.59%E -3.74%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.32%EV -6.86%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -6.85%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 21:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 08:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 11:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 21:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.77%E -5.75%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -7.59%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-21 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-21 20:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -11.36%E -6.81%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -11.36%E -6.81%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -19.91%E -6.13%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-22 11:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.65% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.61% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |