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Grimsby Town v Swindon Town
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Grimsby Town (Хозяева)
Прогноз 53.08%1.88справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.46%
Преимущество -2.48%
Kelly -5.58%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.57%53.10%53.03%55.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.651.741.751.8060.61%57.43%57.14%55.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Swindon Town (Гости)
Прогноз 22.28%4.49справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.267%
Преимущество +0.059%
Kelly +0.076%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.83%22.23%22.31%23.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.134.104.5025.00%24.23%24.39%22.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.64%4.06справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.89%
Преимущество -0.998%
Kelly -1.34%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.53%24.67%24.66%26.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.713.703.9030.77%26.95%27.03%25.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Grimsby Town (Хозяева): 53.08%; Swindon Town (Гости): 22.28%; Ничья: 24.64%. Для исхода «Swindon Town (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.49. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.267%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +0.267%E +0.059%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.59%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 09:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -12.43%E -7.53%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -1.96%E -0.446%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -3.89%E -0.998%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 04:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -3.52%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.88%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 21.96%EV -4.86%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.16%EV -4.38%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 20:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 20:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.89%E -0.998%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 14:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.56%EV -6.85%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 00:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -9.24%E -5.40%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 00:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.59%E -3.74%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.32%EV -6.86%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -6.85%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 21:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 08:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 11:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 21:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.77%E -5.75%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -7.59%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-21 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-21 20:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -11.36%E -6.81%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -11.36%E -6.81%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -19.91%E -6.13%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-22 11:35 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.65% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.61% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |