La scuola delle quote

Grimsby Town v Swindon Town

Inizio: 2026-04-25 11:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Grimsby Town (Casa)

Previsione 53.08%1.88quota equa
EV -4.46%
Vantaggio -2.48%
Kelly -5.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.57%53.10%53.03%55.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.741.751.8060.61%57.43%57.14%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Swindon Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.28%4.49quota equa
EV +0.267%
Vantaggio +0.059%
Kelly +0.076%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.83%22.23%22.31%23.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.134.104.5025.00%24.23%24.39%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.64%4.06quota equa
EV -3.89%
Vantaggio -0.998%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.53%24.67%24.66%26.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.713.703.9030.77%26.95%27.03%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +0.267%E +0.059%K +0.076%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.59%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -12.43%E -7.53%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -1.96%E -0.446%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -3.89%E -0.998%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 04:20
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -3.52%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:39
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 11:34
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 53.88%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.96%EV -4.86%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.16%EV -4.38%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 20:55
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 20:49
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 20:50
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.89%E -0.998%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 14:43
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 11:34
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 23:09
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 14:45
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 14:44
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.56%EV -6.85%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 00:24
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -9.24%E -5.40%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 09:19
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 14:54
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 21:45
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 00:44
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.59%E -3.74%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.32%EV -6.86%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -6.85%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 00:30
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 21:19
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 08:14
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 20:54
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 23:10
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:25
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 23:10
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 11:35
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 21:00
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 21:05
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 21:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 21:00
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 23:00
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 23:00
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 23:00
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.77%E -5.75%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -7.59%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 20:50
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 20:50
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -11.36%E -6.81%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -11.36%E -6.81%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -19.91%E -6.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-22 11:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%2.8%2026-04-23 23:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%3.4%2026-04-23 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%3.4%2026-04-23 23:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%3.4%2026-04-23 23:25
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%4.0%2026-04-23 18:15