Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Grimsby Town v Swindon Town

Początek: 2026-04-25 11:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Grimsby Town (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 53.08%1.88kurs godziwy
EV -4.46%
Przewaga -2.48%
Kelly -5.58%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.57%53.10%53.03%55.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.651.741.751.8060.61%57.43%57.14%55.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Swindon Town (Goście)

Prognoza 22.28%4.49kurs godziwy
EV +0.267%
Przewaga +0.059%
Kelly +0.076%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.83%22.23%22.31%23.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.134.104.5025.00%24.23%24.39%22.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 24.64%4.06kurs godziwy
EV -3.89%
Przewaga -0.998%
Kelly -1.34%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.53%24.67%24.66%26.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.253.713.703.9030.77%26.95%27.03%25.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Grimsby Town (Gospodarze): 53.08%; Swindon Town (Goście): 22.28%; Remis: 24.64%. Dla wyniku Swindon Town (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.49. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.267%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +0.267%E +0.059%K +0.076%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.59%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -12.43%E -7.53%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -1.96%E -0.446%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -3.89%E -0.998%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 04:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -3.52%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:39
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -4.19%E -0.974%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 11:34
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.88%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.96%EV -4.86%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.16%EV -4.38%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 20:55
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 20:49
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 20:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.89%E -0.998%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 14:43
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 11:34
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 14:45
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 14:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.56%EV -6.85%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 00:24
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -9.24%E -5.40%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 09:19
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 14:54
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 21:45
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.42%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 00:44
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.59%E -3.74%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.32%EV -6.86%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -6.85%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 00:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 21:19
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 08:14
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 20:54
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.65%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 23:10
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 11:35
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 21:00
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 21:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.77%E -5.75%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -7.59%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 20:50
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 20:50
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -11.36%E -6.81%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -11.36%E -6.81%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -10.87%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -19.91%E -6.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-22 11:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%2.8%2026-04-23 23:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%3.4%2026-04-23 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%3.4%2026-04-23 23:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%3.4%2026-04-23 23:25
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%4.0%2026-04-23 18:15