Language:English
Grimsby Town v Harrogate Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grimsby Town (Local)
Prediction 61.92%1.61fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -7.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.78%61.97%64.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5569.44%66.78%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Harrogate Town (Visit)
Prediction 15.97%6.26fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.175%
Kelly +0.207%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 6.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.00%16.10%15.93%17.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.815.806.3319.05%17.22%17.24%15.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.11%4.52fair odd
EV +5.01%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.65%22.12%22.10%23.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.174.104.7525.97%23.97%24.39%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grimsby Town (Local): 61.92%; Harrogate Town (Visit): 15.97%; Draw: 22.11%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -10.84%E -7.52%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV +5.01%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.067% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -10.84%E -7.52%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.20%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -3.83%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -4.27%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -16.14%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -4.27%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -10.84%E -7.52%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -4.27%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.40%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.40%EV -0.971%E -0.157%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.40%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.40%EV -0.971%E -0.157%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -10.22%E -7.05%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.87%EV -6.50%E -4.31%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.33I 15.80%NM 15.00%EV +1.11%E +0.175%K +0.207%G +0.002% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.13%EV -5.16%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -13.75%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -6.04%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -13.75%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -6.04%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.04%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 13:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 09:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 05:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.76%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.25%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.76%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.25%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.21%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.25%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -10.55%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -13.75%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -10.22%E -7.05%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-03 04:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -16.14%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.98%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.98%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.98%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.89%E -3.87%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.36% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |