L’École des cotes

Grimsby Town v Harrogate Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Grimsby Town (Local)

Prévision 61.92%1.61cote équitable
EV -4.02%
Avantage -2.60%
Kelly -7.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.74%61.78%61.97%64.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.501.501.5569.44%66.78%66.67%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Harrogate Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.97%6.26cote équitable
EV +1.11%
Avantage +0.175%
Kelly +0.207%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 6.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.00%16.10%15.93%17.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.255.815.806.3319.05%17.22%17.24%15.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.11%4.52cote équitable
EV +5.01%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.067%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.65%22.12%22.10%23.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.174.104.7525.97%23.97%24.39%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -10.84%E -7.52%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV +5.01%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.067%7.2%2026-04-03 13:45
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 13:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -10.84%E -7.52%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.20%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -3.83%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -4.27%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 13:54
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -16.14%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -4.27%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:20
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -10.84%E -7.52%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -4.27%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:44
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.40%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.40%EV -0.971%E -0.157%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 13:45
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.40%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.40%EV -0.971%E -0.157%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 13:45
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 13:54
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:15
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:15
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:10
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -10.22%E -7.05%K -22.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:49
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 62.87%EV -6.50%E -4.31%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.00%EV +1.11%E +0.175%K +0.207%G +0.002%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.13%EV -5.16%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -13.75%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -6.04%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:54
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -13.75%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -6.04%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.04%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:15
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:54
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 09:15
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 05:25
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.76%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.25%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.76%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.25%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:39
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.21%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.25%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:50
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:50
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:05
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -10.55%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -13.75%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -10.22%E -7.05%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 04:59
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:44
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -16.14%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:15
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.98%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.98%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.98%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 00:05
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.89%E -3.87%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 13:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%2.2%2026-04-03 13:50