La escuela de los momios

Grimsby Town v Harrogate Town

Inicio: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grimsby Town (Local)

Predicción 61.92%1.61momio equitativo
EV -4.02%
Ventaja -2.60%
Kelly -7.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.74%61.78%61.97%64.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.501.501.5569.44%66.78%66.67%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Harrogate Town (Visitante)

Predicción 15.97%6.26momio equitativo
EV +1.11%
Ventaja +0.175%
Kelly +0.207%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.00%16.10%15.93%17.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.255.815.806.3319.05%17.22%17.24%15.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.11%4.52momio equitativo
EV +5.01%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.067%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.65%22.12%22.10%23.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.174.104.7525.97%23.97%24.39%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -10.84%E -7.52%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV +5.01%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.067%7.2%2026-04-03 13:45
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 13:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -10.84%E -7.52%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.20%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -3.83%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -4.27%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 13:54
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -16.14%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -4.27%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:20
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -10.84%E -7.52%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -4.27%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:44
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.40%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.40%EV -0.971%E -0.157%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 13:45
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.40%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.40%EV -0.971%E -0.157%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 13:45
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 13:54
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:15
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:15
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:10
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -10.22%E -7.05%K -22.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:49
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 62.87%EV -6.50%E -4.31%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.00%EV +1.11%E +0.175%K +0.207%G +0.002%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.13%EV -5.16%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -13.75%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -6.04%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:54
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -13.75%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -6.04%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.04%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:15
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:54
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 09:15
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 05:25
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.76%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.25%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.76%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.25%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:39
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.21%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.25%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:50
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:50
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:05
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -10.55%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -13.75%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -10.22%E -7.05%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 04:59
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:44
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -16.14%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:15
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.98%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.98%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.98%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 00:05
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.89%E -3.87%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 13:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%2.2%2026-04-03 13:50