مدرسة الاحتمالات

Grimsby Town v Harrogate Town

البداية: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Grimsby Town (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.92%1.61السعر العادل
EV -4.02%
الأفضلية -2.60%
Kelly -7.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.74%61.78%61.97%64.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.501.501.5569.44%66.78%66.67%64.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Harrogate Town (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.97%6.26السعر العادل
EV +1.11%
الأفضلية +0.175%
Kelly +0.207%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.00%16.10%15.93%17.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.255.815.806.3319.05%17.22%17.24%15.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.11%4.52السعر العادل
EV +5.01%
الأفضلية +1.05%
Kelly +1.34%
النمو +0.067%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.65%22.12%22.10%23.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.854.174.104.7525.97%23.97%24.39%21.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -10.84%E -7.52%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV +5.01%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.067%7.2%2026-04-03 13:45
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 13:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -10.84%E -7.52%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.20%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -3.83%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -4.27%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 13:54
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -16.14%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -4.27%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:20
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -10.84%E -7.52%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -4.27%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:44
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.40%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.40%EV -0.971%E -0.157%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 13:45
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.40%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.40%EV -0.971%E -0.157%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 13:45
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 13:54
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:15
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:15
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:10
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -10.22%E -7.05%K -22.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:49
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 62.87%EV -6.50%E -4.31%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.00%EV +1.11%E +0.175%K +0.207%G +0.002%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.13%EV -5.16%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -13.75%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -6.04%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:54
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -13.75%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -6.04%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.04%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:15
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:54
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 09:15
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 05:25
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.76%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.25%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.76%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -8.25%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:39
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.21%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.25%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:50
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:50
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:05
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.17%E -0.694%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -10.55%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -13.75%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -10.22%E -7.05%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 04:59
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:44
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.16%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -16.14%E -3.08%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:15
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.98%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.98%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.98%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -7.36%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 00:05
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -12.15%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.89%E -3.87%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 13:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%2.2%2026-04-03 13:50