Language:English
Grimsby Town v Exeter City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grimsby Town (Local)
Prediction 53.80%1.86fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.26%53.77%53.66%55.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.741.731.8060.24%57.52%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Exeter City (Visit)
Prediction 20.98%4.77fair odd
EV -0.368%
Edge -0.077%
Kelly -0.098%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.57%20.99%21.12%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.334.404.7525.97%23.08%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.22%3.96fair odd
EV -0.367%
Edge -0.093%
Kelly -0.124%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.09%25.23%25.23%26.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.603.9529.41%27.43%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grimsby Town (Local): 53.80%; Exeter City (Visit): 20.98%; Draw: 25.22%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.95, with an expected value of -0.367%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -9.18%E -2.12%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 12:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 12:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 12:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 12:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 12:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 12:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 12:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 12:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 12:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -9.81%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -9.81%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -18.20%E -4.67%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 12:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -6.39%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -6.39%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -10.86%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 13:47 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 13:48 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -9.18%E -2.12%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.26%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -19.25%E -5.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-09 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.26%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -19.25%E -5.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-09 12:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -2.47%E -0.530%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -2.47%E -0.530%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.25%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -9.81%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -8.76%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -14.24%E -4.19%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.66%EV -8.00%E -4.68%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -1.42%E -0.301%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -0.367%E -0.093%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -8.00%E -4.68%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.42%E -0.301%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -1.63%E -0.417%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -8.54%E -5.02%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.54%E -5.02%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -0.368%E -0.077%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.54%E -5.02%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.85%EV -9.08%E -5.37%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -4.56%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.42%EV -9.08%E -5.37%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -0.368%E -0.077%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -10.69%E -6.44%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.22% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.22% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.22% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.88% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |