Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Grimsby Town v Exeter City

Início: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Grimsby Town 1–0 Exeter City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Grimsby Town (Local)

Previsão 53.80%1.86odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -1.75%
Kelly -3.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.26%53.77%53.66%55.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.661.741.731.8060.24%57.52%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Exeter City (Visitante)

Previsão 20.98%4.77odd justa
EV -0.368%
Vantagem -0.077%
Kelly -0.098%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.57%20.99%21.12%23.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.334.404.7525.97%23.08%22.73%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.22%3.96odd justa
EV -0.367%
Vantagem -0.093%
Kelly -0.124%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.09%25.23%25.23%26.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.653.603.9529.41%27.43%27.78%25.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Grimsby Town (Local): 53.80%; Exeter City (Visitante): 20.98%; Empate: 25.22%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.96. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.95, com valor esperado de -0.367%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -9.18%E -2.12%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:55
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:54
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:55
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:54
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:55
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:55
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -9.81%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:44
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -9.81%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 13:55
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:54
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -18.20%E -4.67%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 12:54
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -6.39%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -6.39%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -10.86%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:44
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 13:47
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 13:48
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:54
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -9.18%E -2.12%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.26%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -19.25%E -5.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.26%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -19.25%E -5.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:45
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -2.47%E -0.530%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:54
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -2.47%E -0.530%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.25%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -9.81%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:54
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -8.76%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -14.24%E -4.19%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:54
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.66%EV -8.00%E -4.68%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -1.42%E -0.301%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -0.367%E -0.093%K -0.124%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 13:45
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -8.00%E -4.68%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.42%E -0.301%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -1.63%E -0.417%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -8.54%E -5.02%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:50
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.54%E -5.02%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -0.368%E -0.077%K -0.098%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:54
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.54%E -5.02%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.85%EV -9.08%E -5.37%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -4.56%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:54
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.42%EV -9.08%E -5.37%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -0.368%E -0.077%K -0.098%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:54
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:54
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -10.69%E -6.44%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.22%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.22%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.22%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.88%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-15 13:55
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%2.2%2026-08-15 13:55