Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Grimsby Town v Exeter City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Score final : Grimsby Town 1–0 Exeter City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Grimsby Town (Local)

Prévision 53.80%1.86cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -3.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.26%53.77%53.66%55.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.661.741.731.8060.24%57.52%57.80%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Exeter City (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.98%4.77cote équitable
EV -0.368%
Avantage -0.077%
Kelly -0.098%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.57%20.99%21.12%23.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.334.404.7525.97%23.08%22.73%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.22%3.96cote équitable
EV -0.367%
Avantage -0.093%
Kelly -0.124%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.09%25.23%25.23%26.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.653.603.9529.41%27.43%27.78%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Grimsby Town (Local) : 53.80% ; Exeter City (Visiteur) : 20.98% ; Match nul : 25.22%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.96. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.95, pour une espérance de -0.367% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -9.18%E -2.12%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:55
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:54
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:55
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:54
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:55
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:55
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.10%E -4.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -9.81%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:44
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -4.77%E -2.70%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -9.81%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 13:55
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:54
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -18.20%E -4.67%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 12:54
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -6.39%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -6.39%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -10.86%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:44
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 13:47
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 13:48
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:54
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -9.18%E -2.12%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.26%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -19.25%E -5.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.26%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -19.25%E -5.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:45
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -2.47%E -0.530%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:54
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -2.47%E -0.530%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.25%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -9.81%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:54
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -8.76%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -14.24%E -4.19%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:54
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.66%EV -8.00%E -4.68%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -1.42%E -0.301%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -0.367%E -0.093%K -0.124%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 13:45
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -8.00%E -4.68%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.42%E -0.301%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -1.63%E -0.417%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -8.54%E -5.02%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:50
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.54%E -5.02%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -0.368%E -0.077%K -0.098%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:54
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.54%E -5.02%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.85%EV -9.08%E -5.37%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -4.56%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:54
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.42%EV -9.08%E -5.37%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -9.20%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -0.368%E -0.077%K -0.098%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:54
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:54
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -10.69%E -6.44%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.51%E -0.764%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.22%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.22%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.22%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.88%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-15 13:55
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%2.2%2026-08-15 13:55