La escuela de los momios

Grimsby Town v Exeter City

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grimsby Town (Local)

Predicción 51.21%1.95momio equitativo
EV -6.28%
Ventaja -3.43%
Kelly -7.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.73%51.17%51.17%52.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.791.8358.82%56.05%55.87%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Exeter City (Visitante)

Predicción 23.36%4.28momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -0.447%
Kelly -0.587%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.31%23.36%23.41%24.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.753.903.834.2026.67%25.65%26.14%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.42%3.93momio equitativo
EV -4.66%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.71%25.48%25.43%26.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.623.603.7528.57%27.65%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.88%E -0.447%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.66%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 12:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.55%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.66%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 15:43
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.55%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.66%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 18:25
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.48%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 01:55
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.02%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.02%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.02%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.02%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 23:39
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.21%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 07:40
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.81%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.48%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 10:50
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -3.05%E -0.734%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -9.75%E -2.75%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 13:05
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -3.05%E -0.734%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -9.75%E -2.75%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 13:05
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.89%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.89%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 15:50
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 50.62%EV -7.30%E -4.03%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -7.72%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.02%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 07:40
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.55%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 18:04
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.21%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.48%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 13:04
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.55%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.48%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 10:25
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.89%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.48%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 16:35
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.89%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.48%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 10:25
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.89%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.48%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 14:06
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -8.84%E -4.97%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -6.55%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.48%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 12:50
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -8.84%E -4.97%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.61%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.48%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 09:39
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -4.21%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -8.48%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 10:50
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -4.21%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -8.48%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 10:49
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.55%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.48%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 12:50
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:49
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:49
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -8.48%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-12 21:54
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.38%E -5.93%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.22%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.02%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 12:50
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -12.94%E -7.61%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -12.39%E -3.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -11.02%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-30 05:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 50.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%11.5%2026-07-17 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20