Language:English
Grimsby Town v Crewe Alexandra
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grimsby Town (Local)
Prediction 50.44%1.98fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -4.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.48%50.40%50.54%51.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.821.831.9156.82%54.83%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crewe Alexandra (Visit)
Prediction 24.48%4.08fair odd
EV +0.386%
Edge +0.094%
Kelly +0.125%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.35%24.56%24.36%26.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.843.804.1028.57%26.07%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.07%3.99fair odd
EV -0.464%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.156%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.96%25.04%25.11%27.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.623.603.9731.25%27.64%27.78%25.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grimsby Town (Local): 50.44%; Crewe Alexandra (Visit): 24.48%; Draw: 25.07%. For Crewe Alexandra (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.386%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 19:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 19:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 19:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 19:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 19:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -10.21%E -5.74%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-08 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -11.22%E -6.37%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.50%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-08 19:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -11.22%E -6.37%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.50%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-08 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -11.22%E -6.37%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.50%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-08 19:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.74%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -8.70%E -4.81%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -5.98%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.65%EV -5.73%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -3.47%E -0.902%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.19%EV -8.70%E -4.81%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -10.99%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.16%EV -8.92%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.85%EV -9.24%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.33%EV -4.66%E -2.47%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.96%EV -0.464%E -0.117%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.86%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.86%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -11.86%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -19.77%E -6.18%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -8.19%E -4.50%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -14.30%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -14.30%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.84% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |