L’École des cotes

Grimsby Town v Crewe Alexandra

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Score final : Grimsby Town 3–2 Crewe Alexandra

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Grimsby Town (Local)

Prévision 50.44%1.98cote équitable
EV -3.65%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -4.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.48%50.40%50.54%51.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.821.831.9156.82%54.83%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Crewe Alexandra (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.48%4.08cote équitable
EV +0.386%
Avantage +0.094%
Kelly +0.125%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.35%24.56%24.36%26.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.843.804.1028.57%26.07%26.32%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.07%3.99cote équitable
EV -0.464%
Avantage -0.117%
Kelly -0.156%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.96%25.04%25.11%27.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.623.603.9731.25%27.64%27.78%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:55
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:54
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:54
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:54
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:55
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:54
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:55
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:55
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:55
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -10.21%E -5.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-08 19:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:44
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -11.22%E -6.37%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.50%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 19:54
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -11.22%E -6.37%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.50%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -11.22%E -6.37%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.50%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 19:55
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:49
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:44
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.74%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:54
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -8.70%E -4.81%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -5.98%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.65%EV -5.73%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:49
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:49
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:54
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -3.47%E -0.902%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:49
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.19%EV -8.70%E -4.81%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -10.99%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 13:55
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.16%EV -8.92%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.85%EV -9.24%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:54
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.33%EV -4.66%E -2.47%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.96%EV -0.464%E -0.117%K -0.156%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:50
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:45
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:45
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:50
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:55
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:50
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:54
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.86%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.86%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -11.86%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -19.77%E -6.18%K -8.99%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 13:49
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:45
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:45
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -8.19%E -4.50%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -14.30%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:45
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -14.30%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.84%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%3.0%2026-04-11 13:55