A Escola das Odds

Grimsby Town v Crewe Alexandra

Início: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Grimsby Town 3–2 Crewe Alexandra

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Grimsby Town (Local)

Previsão 50.44%1.98odd justa
EV -3.65%
Vantagem -1.91%
Kelly -4.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.48%50.40%50.54%51.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.761.821.831.9156.82%54.83%54.64%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Crewe Alexandra (Visitante)

Previsão 24.48%4.08odd justa
EV +0.386%
Vantagem +0.094%
Kelly +0.125%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.35%24.56%24.36%26.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.843.804.1028.57%26.07%26.32%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.07%3.99odd justa
EV -0.464%
Vantagem -0.117%
Kelly -0.156%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.96%25.04%25.11%27.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.623.603.9731.25%27.64%27.78%25.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:55
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:54
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:54
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:54
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:55
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:54
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:55
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:55
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:55
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -9.71%E -5.42%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -10.21%E -5.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV +0.386%E +0.094%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-08 19:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:44
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -11.22%E -6.37%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.50%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 19:54
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -11.22%E -6.37%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.50%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -11.22%E -6.37%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -13.50%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 19:55
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:49
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:44
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.74%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:54
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -8.70%E -4.81%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -5.98%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.65%EV -5.73%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:49
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:49
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:54
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -3.47%E -0.902%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:49
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.19%EV -8.70%E -4.81%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -10.99%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 13:55
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.16%EV -8.92%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.85%EV -9.24%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:54
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.33%EV -4.66%E -2.47%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.96%EV -0.464%E -0.117%K -0.156%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:50
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:45
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:45
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:50
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:55
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:50
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:54
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.86%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.86%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -11.86%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -19.77%E -6.18%K -8.99%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 13:49
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:45
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:45
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -8.19%E -4.50%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -14.30%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:45
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -14.30%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.84%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%3.0%2026-04-11 13:55