Language:English
Grimsby Town v Crawley Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grimsby Town (Local)
Prediction 64.53%1.55fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -6.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.21%64.40%64.68%66.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.431.5072.46%69.71%69.93%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crawley Town (Visit)
Prediction 15.48%6.46fair odd
EV +0.640%
Edge +0.098%
Kelly +0.116%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.26%15.49%15.51%16.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.505.945.906.5018.18%16.84%16.95%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.99%5.00fair odd
EV -0.073%
Edge -0.015%
Kelly -0.018%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.50%20.11%19.81%22.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.544.505.0024.39%22.00%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grimsby Town (Local): 64.53%; Crawley Town (Visit): 15.48%; Draw: 19.99%. For Crawley Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.46. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.640%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.640%E +0.098%K +0.116%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.640%E +0.098%K +0.116%G +0.001% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 20:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.640%E +0.098%K +0.116%G +0.001% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 20:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.96%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 14.71%EV -0.754%E -0.118%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.33%EV -2.47%E -0.506%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.23%E -0.517%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 02:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.23%E -0.517%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.87%EV -10.30%E -7.41%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.65%EV -3.23%E -0.517%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 20:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.76%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 14.89%EV -3.70%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -9.07%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-17 09:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.82%EV -4.01%E -0.646%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.81%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 14.96%EV -4.78%E -0.777%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -9.07%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.39%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -5.55%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.39%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -5.55%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.07%E -0.848%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 12:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -0.073%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 10:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 02:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 02:21 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -10.95%E -7.93%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -8.65%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -17.06%E -4.11%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 14:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -8.65%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -17.06%E -4.11%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.47%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 09:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.96%EV -9.01%E -6.39%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-15 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-15 09:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-15 09:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 15:27 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -18.06%E -4.40%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 08:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -13.30%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -13.30%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -13.30%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -14.84%E -2.70%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.21% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 2.2% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.21% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 2.2% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.21% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 2.2% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.21% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 2.2% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.91% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.21% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87% | 2.7% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |