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Grimsby Town v Crawley Town

2026-09-19 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grimsby Town (Local)

Prediction 61.84%1.62fair odd
EV -5.38%
Edge -3.52%
Kelly -10.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.68%61.77%61.84%62.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.03%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Crawley Town (Visit)

Prediction 16.82%5.95fair odd
EV +0.921%
Edge +0.153%
Kelly +0.184%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.85%16.80%16.82%17.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.515.506.0020.00%18.16%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.34%4.69fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -0.884%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.58%21.44%21.34%22.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.274.304.5025.00%23.42%23.26%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Grimsby Town (Local): 61.84%; Crawley Town (Visit): 16.82%; Draw: 21.34%. For Crawley Town (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.95. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.00, producing a positive expected value of +0.921%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -5.38%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.921%E +0.153%K +0.184%G +0.002%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -7.61%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.12%EV -6.00%E -3.95%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.28%E -0.571%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -6.11%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 17:04
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.62%E -4.38%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.66%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.25%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 16:44
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -6.62%E -4.38%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.83%EV -6.48%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.18%EV -5.69%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.24%E -4.82%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.69%EV -6.65%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -8.25%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 16:39
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -6.00%E -3.95%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.25%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 17:04
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.24%E -4.82%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.11%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -8.47%E -5.73%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -3.98%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 16:39
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -7.24%E -4.82%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.25%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 16:10
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.24%E -4.82%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.99%EV -8.47%E -5.73%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -8.25%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 17:05
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.24%E -4.82%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.65%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 15:55
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.24%E -4.82%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.65%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 15:55
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.95%E -7.60%K -24.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 17:03
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.12%EV -9.71%E -6.65%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -9.17%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -8.25%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.75%EV -9.09%E -6.19%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.69%E -2.23%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -7.61%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 16:39
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.95%E -7.60%K -24.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -14.65%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-12 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-12 16:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-12 16:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-12 16:21