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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Grimsby Town v Crawley Town

Início: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Grimsby Town 2–0 Crawley Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Grimsby Town (Local)

Previsão 64.53%1.55odd justa
EV -3.20%
Vantagem -2.14%
Kelly -6.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.21%64.40%64.68%66.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.431.431.5072.46%69.71%69.93%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Crawley Town (Visitante)

Previsão 15.48%6.46odd justa
EV +0.640%
Vantagem +0.098%
Kelly +0.116%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.26%15.49%15.51%16.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.505.945.906.5018.18%16.84%16.95%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.99%5.00odd justa
EV -0.073%
Vantagem -0.015%
Kelly -0.018%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.50%20.11%19.81%22.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.544.505.0024.39%22.00%22.22%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Grimsby Town (Local): 64.53%; Crawley Town (Visitante): 15.48%; Empate: 19.99%. Para Crawley Town (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.46. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.640%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.640%E +0.098%K +0.116%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.640%E +0.098%K +0.116%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.640%E +0.098%K +0.116%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 20:50
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.96%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.71%EV -0.754%E -0.118%K -0.139%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.33%EV -2.47%E -0.506%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.23%E -0.517%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 02:20
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.23%E -0.517%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 20:50
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.87%EV -10.30%E -7.41%K -26.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.65%EV -3.23%E -0.517%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 20:48
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.76%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 14.89%EV -3.70%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -9.07%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 09:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.82%EV -4.01%E -0.646%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.81%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 14.96%EV -4.78%E -0.777%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -9.07%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-17 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.39%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -5.55%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.39%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -5.55%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 10:10
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.07%E -0.848%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:55
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 12:45
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 12:43
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 19:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 15:25
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -0.073%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:04
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 10:14
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 02:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 02:21
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -10.95%E -7.93%K -28.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 20:50
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -8.65%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -17.06%E -4.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:09
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -8.65%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -17.06%E -4.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:10
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.47%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:05
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:05
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:05
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:10
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:10
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:10
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.96%EV -9.01%E -6.39%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 13:45
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 13:44
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 13:45
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-15 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-15 09:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-15 09:40
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 15:27
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -18.06%E -4.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 08:05
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -13.30%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -13.30%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 04:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -13.30%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -14.84%E -2.70%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 14:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.2%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.2%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.2%2026-09-18 14:10
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.2%2026-09-18 14:50
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 64.91%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.21%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%2.7%2026-09-18 15:10