L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Grimsby Town v Crawley Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Score final : Grimsby Town 2–0 Crawley Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Grimsby Town (Local)

Prévision 64.53%1.55cote équitable
EV -3.20%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -6.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.21%64.40%64.68%66.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.431.431.5072.46%69.71%69.93%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Crawley Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.48%6.46cote équitable
EV +0.640%
Avantage +0.098%
Kelly +0.116%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.26%15.49%15.51%16.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.505.945.906.5018.18%16.84%16.95%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.99%5.00cote équitable
EV -0.073%
Avantage -0.015%
Kelly -0.018%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.50%20.11%19.81%22.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.544.505.0024.39%22.00%22.22%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Grimsby Town (Local) : 64.53% ; Crawley Town (Visiteur) : 15.48% ; Match nul : 19.99%. Pour Crawley Town (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.46. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.50, soit une espérance positive de +0.640%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.640%E +0.098%K +0.116%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.640%E +0.098%K +0.116%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.640%E +0.098%K +0.116%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 20:50
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.96%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.71%EV -0.754%E -0.118%K -0.139%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.33%EV -2.47%E -0.506%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.23%E -0.517%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 02:20
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.23%E -0.517%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 20:50
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.87%EV -10.30%E -7.41%K -26.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.65%EV -3.23%E -0.517%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 20:48
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.76%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 14.89%EV -3.70%E -0.594%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -9.07%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 09:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.82%EV -4.01%E -0.646%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.81%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 14.96%EV -4.78%E -0.777%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -9.07%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-17 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.39%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -5.55%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.39%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -5.55%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 10:10
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.07%E -0.848%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:55
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 12:45
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 12:43
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.07%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 19:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 15:25
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -0.073%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:04
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 10:14
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 02:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 02:21
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -10.95%E -7.93%K -28.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -7.10%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 20:50
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -8.65%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -17.06%E -4.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:09
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -8.65%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -17.06%E -4.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:10
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.47%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:05
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:05
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:05
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:10
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:10
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:10
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.96%EV -9.01%E -6.39%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -10.20%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 13:45
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -3.20%E -2.14%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.07%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 13:44
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 13:45
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -6.07%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-15 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-15 09:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-15 09:40
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 15:27
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -18.06%E -4.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -10.97%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 08:05
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -13.30%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -13.30%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 04:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -13.30%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -14.84%E -2.70%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.2%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.2%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.2%2026-09-18 14:10
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.2%2026-09-18 14:50
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 64.91%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.21%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%2.7%2026-09-18 15:10