Language:English
Gillingham v Walsall
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gillingham (Local)
Prediction 40.22%2.49fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.14%40.21%40.17%41.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.302.302.4045.87%43.52%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Walsall (Visit)
Prediction 31.17%3.21fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -0.988%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.61%31.14%31.26%32.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.983.003.1135.71%33.60%33.33%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.62%3.49fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -0.795%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.66%28.57%29.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.223.203.4032.79%31.09%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gillingham (Local): 40.22%; Walsall (Visit): 31.17%; Draw: 28.62%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -2.70%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 07:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -4.29%E -1.80%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -4.69%E -1.98%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 08:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 07:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.92%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.52%EV -4.63%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.56%EV -9.57%E -3.03%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.97%EV -6.30%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.70%EV -3.07%E -0.988%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.33%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -6.70%E -2.89%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -6.70%E -2.89%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:42 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.50%EV -7.90%E -3.45%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -5.25%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.90%E -3.45%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 08:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.38%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 12:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -12.73%E -4.55%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.73%E -4.55%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.46%EV -12.33%E -5.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.62%EV -10.24%E -3.56%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 12:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.46%EV -12.33%E -5.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.62%EV -10.24%E -3.56%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |