The School of Odds

Gillingham v Walsall

2026-08-15 14:00 — League 2

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Gillingham (Local)

1.9551.28%Min
2.0149.77%Mean
1.9950.25%Median
2.1047.62%Max
43.04%2.324Min
46.40%2.155Max
44.58%2.243Mean
44.79%2.233Median
44.76%2.234IQM
44.60%2.242Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.10 under the IQM model: 44.76%

EV -6.01%Edge -2.86%Kelly -5.47%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Walsall (Visit)

3.1032.26%Min
3.2730.57%Mean
3.2530.77%Median
3.6027.78%Max
26.21%3.815Min
29.15%3.430Max
28.25%3.540Mean
27.99%3.573Median
28.15%3.553IQM
28.22%3.543Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.60 under the IQM model: 28.15%

EV +1.34%Edge +0.371%Kelly +0.514%Growth +0.007%

Option 3: Draw

3.2530.77%Min
3.3429.93%Mean
3.3529.85%Median
3.5028.57%Max
26.46%3.779Min
27.81%3.596Max
27.17%3.680Mean
27.22%3.674Median
27.09%3.691IQM
27.18%3.680Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 27.09%

EV -5.17%Edge -1.48%Kelly -2.07%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerGillingham (Local)Walsall (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78% NM 46.40%EV -8.25% E -4.02% K -7.86% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.42%EV +1.34% E +0.371% K +0.514% G +0.007%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.18%EV -5.17% E -1.48% K -2.07% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 05:49
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78% NM 46.03%EV -8.25% E -4.02% K -7.86% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.21%EV +1.34% E +0.371% K +0.514% G +0.007%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.75%EV -7.88% E -2.32% K -3.28% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 05:49
SportsBet2.00I 50.00% NM 45.94%EV -10.49% E -5.24% K -10.49% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.63%EV -2.89% E -0.837% K -1.18% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.43%EV -9.23% E -2.76% K -3.93% G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 05:49
Bet Right2.00I 50.00% NM 45.94%EV -10.49% E -5.24% K -10.49% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.63%EV -2.89% E -0.837% K -1.18% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.43%EV -9.23% E -2.76% K -3.93% G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 05:49
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00% NM 45.57%EV -10.49% E -5.24% K -10.49% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.81%EV -4.29% E -1.26% K -1.79% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.62%EV -10.59% E -3.21% K -4.60% G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 05:48
1xBet2.09I 47.85% NM 44.60%EV -6.46% E -3.09% K -5.93% G +0.000%3.33I 30.03% NM 27.99%EV -6.26% E -1.88% K -2.69% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.41%EV -7.88% E -2.32% K -3.28% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 07:25
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31% NM 44.80%EV -7.35% E -3.55% K -6.87% G +0.000%3.32I 30.12% NM 27.93%EV -6.55% E -1.97% K -2.82% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.27%EV -7.88% E -2.32% K -3.28% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 07:19
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28% NM 45.64%EV -12.72% E -6.53% K -13.39% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.97%EV -7.11% E -2.15% K -3.09% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.39%EV -11.94% E -3.67% K -5.31% G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-30 05:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36% NM 44.60%EV -14.52% E -7.60% K -15.95% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 25.82%EV -7.11% E -2.15% K -3.09% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 29.58%EV -21.97% E -7.63% K -11.68% G +0.000%17.4%2026-06-30 05:59
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75% NM 45.26%EV -10.04% E -4.99% K -9.94% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.99%EV -8.52% E -2.62% K -3.78% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.75%EV -7.88% E -2.32% K -3.28% G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 05:40
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51% NM 45.45%EV -11.38% E -5.75% K -11.61% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.69%EV -8.52% E -2.62% K -3.78% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.86%EV -9.23% E -2.76% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51% NM 45.45%EV -11.38% E -5.75% K -11.61% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.69%EV -8.52% E -2.62% K -3.78% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.86%EV -9.23% E -2.76% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet1.98I 50.51% NM 45.45%EV -11.38% E -5.75% K -11.61% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.69%EV -8.52% E -2.62% K -3.78% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.86%EV -9.23% E -2.76% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 06:30
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76% NM 45.57%EV -11.83% E -6.00% K -12.20% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.63%EV -8.52% E -2.62% K -3.78% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.80%EV -9.23% E -2.76% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:39
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76% NM 45.57%EV -11.83% E -6.00% K -12.20% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.63%EV -8.52% E -2.62% K -3.78% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.80%EV -9.23% E -2.76% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:39
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76% NM 45.57%EV -11.83% E -6.00% K -12.20% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.63%EV -8.52% E -2.62% K -3.78% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.80%EV -9.23% E -2.76% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76% NM 45.57%EV -11.83% E -6.00% K -12.20% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.63%EV -8.52% E -2.62% K -3.78% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.80%EV -9.23% E -2.76% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76% NM 45.57%EV -11.83% E -6.00% K -12.20% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.63%EV -8.52% E -2.62% K -3.78% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.80%EV -9.23% E -2.76% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo1.97I 50.76% NM 45.57%EV -11.83% E -6.00% K -12.20% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.63%EV -8.52% E -2.62% K -3.78% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.80%EV -9.23% E -2.76% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch1.97I 50.76% NM 45.57%EV -11.83% E -6.00% K -12.20% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.63%EV -8.52% E -2.62% K -3.78% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.80%EV -9.23% E -2.76% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
BetRivers1.97I 50.76% NM 45.57%EV -11.83% E -6.00% K -12.20% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.63%EV -8.52% E -2.62% K -3.78% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.80%EV -9.23% E -2.76% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX1.97I 50.76% NM 45.57%EV -11.83% E -6.00% K -12.20% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.63%EV -8.52% E -2.62% K -3.78% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.80%EV -9.23% E -2.76% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76% NM 45.57%EV -11.83% E -6.00% K -12.20% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.63%EV -8.52% E -2.62% K -3.78% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.80%EV -9.23% E -2.76% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00% NM 44.98%EV -10.49% E -5.24% K -10.49% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.56%EV -11.33% E -3.60% K -5.27% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.46%EV -7.88% E -2.32% K -3.28% G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-02 10:19
William Hill2.10I 47.62% NM 43.04%EV -6.01% E -2.86% K -5.47% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -12.74% E -4.11% K -6.07% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.81%EV -11.94% E -3.67% K -5.31% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport2.10I 47.62% NM 43.04%EV -6.01% E -2.86% K -5.47% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -12.74% E -4.11% K -6.07% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.81%EV -11.94% E -3.67% K -5.31% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62% NM 43.04%EV -6.01% E -2.86% K -5.47% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -12.74% E -4.11% K -6.07% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.81%EV -11.94% E -3.67% K -5.31% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62% NM 43.04%EV -6.01% E -2.86% K -5.47% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -12.74% E -4.11% K -6.07% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.81%EV -11.94% E -3.67% K -5.31% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 23:39
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00% NM 44.24%EV -10.49% E -5.24% K -10.49% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.54%EV -12.74% E -4.11% K -6.07% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.22%EV -11.94% E -3.67% K -5.31% G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-30 05:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerGillingham (Local)Walsall (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19