Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gillingham v Walsall

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gillingham (Local)

Prediction 40.38%2.48fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.82%40.45%40.27%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.282.282.3845.87%43.79%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Walsall (Visit)

Prediction 30.91%3.24fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.94%30.89%31.02%32.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.993.003.1035.71%33.40%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.71%3.48fair odd
EV +0.499%
Edge +0.143%
Kelly +0.200%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.52%28.66%28.71%29.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.233.203.5032.79%31.00%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Gillingham (Local): 40.38%; Walsall (Visit): 30.91%; Draw: 28.71%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.50, producing a positive expected value of +0.499%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.15%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV +0.499%E +0.143%K +0.200%G +0.001%7.7%2026-08-14 17:25
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -2.37%E -0.698%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 17:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -8.82%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -2.37%E -0.698%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 17:24
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 13:13
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 13:14
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 10:13
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 14:04
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.82%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.15%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 09:55
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.37%E -3.57%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 17:30
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -11.17%E -5.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-13 14:10
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.15%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.37%E -3.57%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 17:24
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.87%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -5.73%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.02%EV -6.10%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 15:04
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -9.15%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 10:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -9.15%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 10:14
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -9.15%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -9.15%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 10:14
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 16:19
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.37%E -3.57%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 17:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.37%E -3.57%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 17:25
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -11.17%E -5.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-10 14:25
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -5.52%E -2.36%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -5.52%E -2.36%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -5.52%E -2.36%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 16:25
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -5.52%E -2.36%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 16:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.99%EV -6.32%E -2.73%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.03%EV -7.58%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 15:05
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 15:08
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -6.32%E -2.73%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -8.82%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 14:59
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -6.32%E -2.73%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -8.82%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:49
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:49
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.82%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 17:05
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -11.17%E -5.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -5.73%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 13:07
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.42%EV -11.57%E -5.28%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-12 09:54
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.15%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -13.46%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-14 17:24
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.15%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.37%E -3.57%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 15:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 15:00
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 14:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.46%EV -11.98%E -5.49%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.62%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-09 12:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.46%EV -11.98%E -5.49%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.62%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-09 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 39.58%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.91%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51%2.7%2026-08-14 15:45
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%3.0%2026-08-14 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.17%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.26%3.6%2026-08-14 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.17%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.26%3.6%2026-08-14 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.17%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.26%3.6%2026-08-14 17:05

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