L’École des cotes

Gillingham v Walsall

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gillingham (Local)

Prévision 44.48%2.25cote équitable
EV -4.37%
Avantage -2.03%
Kelly -3.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.04%44.48%44.47%45.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.052.052.1550.76%48.74%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Walsall (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.25%3.54cote équitable
EV -3.95%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -1.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.63%28.30%28.20%29.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.253.253.4032.26%30.79%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.27%3.67cote équitable
EV -4.56%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -1.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.31%27.21%27.32%28.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.353.5032.26%30.01%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 13:19
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 19:45
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 19:44
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 19:44
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 13:24
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 13:24
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.14%EV -6.15%E -2.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.31%EV -7.06%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.55%EV -7.83%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 13:29
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 19:44
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 08:00
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 13:19
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 23:39
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -7.03%E -3.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -7.34%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -7.83%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 13:28
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.48%E -3.60%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 13:19
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 20:09
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 17:50
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 13:19
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-10 12:29
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 08:38
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 14:24
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 19:40
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -15.47%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-17 13:19
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.26%EV -10.59%E -5.27%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 05:40
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -11.01%E -3.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-16 13:45
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-30 05:40
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -11.93%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -11.93%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -11.93%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 06:30
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:39
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:39
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%11.6%2026-07-17 13:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19