Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gillingham v Walsall

Início: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Gillingham 0–3 Walsall

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gillingham (Local)

Previsão 40.22%2.49odd justa
EV -3.48%
Vantagem -1.45%
Kelly -2.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.14%40.21%40.17%41.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.182.302.302.4045.87%43.52%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Walsall (Visitante)

Previsão 31.17%3.21odd justa
EV -3.07%
Vantagem -0.988%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.61%31.14%31.26%32.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.983.003.1135.71%33.60%33.33%32.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.62%3.49odd justa
EV -2.70%
Vantagem -0.795%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.44%28.66%28.57%29.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.223.203.4032.79%31.09%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Gillingham (Local): 40.22%; Walsall (Visitante): 31.17%; Empate: 28.62%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.49. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.40, com valor esperado de -2.70%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 07:59
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -4.29%E -1.80%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -4.69%E -1.98%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 08:00
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 13:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:34
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 17:24
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 08:00
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 07:58
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.92%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.52%EV -4.63%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.56%EV -9.57%E -3.03%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:34
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:34
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.97%EV -6.30%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.70%EV -3.07%E -0.988%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.33%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -6.70%E -2.89%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:34
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -6.70%E -2.89%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:35
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:42
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:43
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:34
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 17:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 17:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:34
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.50%EV -7.90%E -3.45%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -5.25%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.90%E -3.45%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 08:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:49
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:49
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:50
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 13:34
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:34
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.38%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:34
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 12:04
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:39
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -12.73%E -4.55%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 13:34
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.73%E -4.55%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-14 17:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.46%EV -12.33%E -5.66%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.62%EV -10.24%E -3.56%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-09 12:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.46%EV -12.33%E -5.66%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.62%EV -10.24%E -3.56%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-09 12:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-08-15 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-08-15 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-08-15 13:35
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-08-15 13:35
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-08-15 13:55