Idioma:Español
Gillingham v Walsall
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gillingham (Local)
Predicción 40.22%2.49momio equitativo
EV -3.48%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.14%40.21%40.17%41.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.182.302.302.4045.87%43.52%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Walsall (Visitante)
Predicción 31.17%3.21momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -0.988%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.61%31.14%31.26%32.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.802.983.003.1135.71%33.60%33.33%32.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.62%3.49momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -0.795%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%28.66%28.57%29.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.223.203.4032.79%31.09%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gillingham (Local): 40.22%; Walsall (Visitante): 31.17%; Empate: 28.62%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.49. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.40, con un valor esperado de -2.70%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 07:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -4.29%E -1.80%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -4.69%E -1.98%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 08:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 07:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.92%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.52%EV -4.63%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.56%EV -9.57%E -3.03%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.94%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.97%EV -6.30%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.70%EV -3.07%E -0.988%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.33%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -6.70%E -2.89%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -6.70%E -2.89%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -8.06%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:42 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.50%EV -7.90%E -3.45%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -5.25%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.90%E -3.45%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 08:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -8.31%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.38%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 12:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.50%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -12.73%E -4.55%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.73%E -4.55%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.46%EV -12.33%E -5.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.62%EV -10.24%E -3.56%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 12:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.46%EV -12.33%E -5.66%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.62%EV -10.24%E -3.56%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 12:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |