La escuela de los momios

Gillingham v Walsall

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gillingham (Local)

Predicción 44.48%2.25momio equitativo
EV -4.37%
Ventaja -2.03%
Kelly -3.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.04%44.48%44.47%45.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.052.052.1550.76%48.74%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Walsall (Visitante)

Predicción 28.25%3.54momio equitativo
EV -3.95%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%28.30%28.20%29.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.253.253.4032.26%30.79%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.27%3.67momio equitativo
EV -4.56%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.31%27.21%27.32%28.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.333.353.5032.26%30.01%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 13:19
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 19:45
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 19:44
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 19:44
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 13:24
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 13:24
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.14%EV -6.15%E -2.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.31%EV -7.06%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.55%EV -7.83%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 13:29
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 19:44
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 08:00
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 13:19
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 23:39
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -7.03%E -3.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -7.34%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -7.83%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 13:28
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.48%E -3.60%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 13:19
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 20:09
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 17:50
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 13:19
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-10 12:29
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 08:38
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 14:24
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 19:40
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -15.47%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-17 13:19
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.26%EV -10.59%E -5.27%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 05:40
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -11.01%E -3.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-16 13:45
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-30 05:40
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -11.93%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -11.93%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -11.93%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 06:30
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:39
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:39
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -12.37%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%11.6%2026-07-17 13:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19