Language:English
Gillingham v Tranmere Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gillingham (Local)
Prediction 36.13%2.77fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.36%36.31%36.11%38.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.522.552.6543.48%39.74%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tranmere Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 35.36%2.83fair odd
EV +2.53%
Edge +0.873%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.05%35.20%35.39%37.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.662.602.9040.82%37.63%38.46%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.51%3.51fair odd
EV -0.208%
Edge -0.059%
Kelly -0.083%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.00%28.49%28.50%29.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.203.5033.33%31.05%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gillingham (Local): 36.13%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 35.36%; Draw: 28.51%. For Tranmere Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.09%E -6.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -1.00%E -0.359%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -13.04%E -4.27%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.52%EV -15.81%E -6.79%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -1.00%E -0.359%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -13.04%E -4.27%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -11.48%E -4.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -16.90%E -7.35%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.46%E -4.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -16.90%E -7.35%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.46%E -4.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.39%EV -6.42%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.30%EV -5.60%E -2.10%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.31%EV -5.05%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 07:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.08%EV -7.14%E -2.78%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.12%EV -6.66%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -8.19%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.08%EV -7.14%E -2.78%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.12%EV -6.66%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -8.19%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 13:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.91%EV -7.50%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.91%EV -7.50%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 10:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 11:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 14:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.94%EV -4.97%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -0.208%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 08:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.34%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 08:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.34%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 08:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 14:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 11:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -13.38%E -5.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.11% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.29% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.40% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.32% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.99% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |