Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gillingham v Tranmere Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Score final : Gillingham 2–0 Tranmere Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gillingham (Local)

Prévision 36.13%2.77cote équitable
EV -4.25%
Avantage -1.60%
Kelly -2.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.36%36.31%36.11%38.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.522.552.6543.48%39.74%39.22%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.36%2.83cote équitable
EV +2.53%
Avantage +0.873%
Kelly +1.33%
Croissance +0.034%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.05%35.20%35.39%37.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.662.602.9040.82%37.63%38.46%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.51%3.51cote équitable
EV -0.208%
Avantage -0.059%
Kelly -0.083%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.00%28.49%28.50%29.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.223.203.5033.33%31.05%31.25%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gillingham (Local) : 36.13% ; Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur) : 35.36% ; Match nul : 28.51%. Pour Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.83. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.90, soit une espérance positive de +2.53%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.09%E -6.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -1.00%E -0.359%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -13.04%E -4.27%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.52%EV -15.81%E -6.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -1.00%E -0.359%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -13.04%E -4.27%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -11.48%E -4.68%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -16.90%E -7.35%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.46%E -4.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-07 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -16.90%E -7.35%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.46%E -4.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-07 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.39%EV -6.42%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.30%EV -5.60%E -2.10%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.31%EV -5.05%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 07:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 14:05
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.08%EV -7.14%E -2.78%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.12%EV -6.66%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -8.19%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.08%EV -7.14%E -2.78%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.12%EV -6.66%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -8.19%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 13:30
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 08:50
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 13:00
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 13:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 08:49
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 08:40
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 08:50
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 15:15
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.91%EV -7.50%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.91%EV -7.50%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:00
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 10:09
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 10:40
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 11:34
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 14:20
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 14:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.94%EV -4.97%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -0.208%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 14:05
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 08:45
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 08:39
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.34%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 08:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.34%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 08:49
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 21:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 21:30
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 14:04
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 14:05
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 11:34
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 07:44
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -13.38%E -5.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 12:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.11%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-09-09 17:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.32%2.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%2.8%2026-09-09 17:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%2.8%2026-09-09 17:00
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 36.99%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%4.8%2026-09-09 16:56