Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Gillingham v Tranmere Rovers

Inizio: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Finale: Gillingham 2–0 Tranmere Rovers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

51 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Gillingham (Casa)

Previsione 36.13%2.77quota equa
EV -4.25%
Vantaggio -1.60%
Kelly -2.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.36%36.31%36.11%38.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.522.552.6543.48%39.74%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Tranmere Rovers (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.36%2.83quota equa
EV +2.53%
Vantaggio +0.873%
Kelly +1.33%
Crescita +0.034%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.05%35.20%35.39%37.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.662.602.9040.82%37.63%38.46%34.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.51%3.51quota equa
EV -0.208%
Vantaggio -0.059%
Kelly -0.083%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.00%28.49%28.50%29.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.223.203.5033.33%31.05%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Gillingham (Casa): 36.13%; Tranmere Rovers (Trasferta): 35.36%; Pareggio: 28.51%. Per Tranmere Rovers (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.83. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.90, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.53%.

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.09%E -6.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -1.00%E -0.359%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -13.04%E -4.27%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.52%EV -15.81%E -6.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -1.00%E -0.359%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -13.04%E -4.27%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -11.48%E -4.68%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -16.90%E -7.35%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.46%E -4.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-07 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -16.90%E -7.35%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.46%E -4.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-07 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.39%EV -6.42%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.30%EV -5.60%E -2.10%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.31%EV -5.05%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 07:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 14:05
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.08%EV -7.14%E -2.78%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.12%EV -6.66%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -8.19%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.08%EV -7.14%E -2.78%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.12%EV -6.66%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -8.19%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 13:30
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 08:50
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 13:00
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 13:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 08:49
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 08:40
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 08:50
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 15:15
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.91%EV -7.50%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.91%EV -7.50%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:00
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 10:09
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 10:40
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 11:34
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 14:20
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 14:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.94%EV -4.97%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -0.208%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 14:05
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 08:45
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 08:39
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.34%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 08:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.34%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 08:49
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 21:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 21:30
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 14:04
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 14:05
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 11:34
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 07:44
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -13.38%E -5.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 12:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.11%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-09-09 17:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.32%2.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%2.8%2026-09-09 17:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%2.8%2026-09-09 17:00
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 36.99%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%4.8%2026-09-09 16:56