Idioma:Español
Gillingham v Tranmere Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gillingham (Local)
Predicción 36.13%2.77momio equitativo
EV -4.25%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -2.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.36%36.31%36.11%38.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.522.552.6543.48%39.74%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tranmere Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 35.36%2.83momio equitativo
EV +2.53%
Ventaja +0.873%
Kelly +1.33%
Crecimiento +0.034%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.05%35.20%35.39%37.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.662.602.9040.82%37.63%38.46%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.51%3.51momio equitativo
EV -0.208%
Ventaja -0.059%
Kelly -0.083%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.00%28.49%28.50%29.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.223.203.5033.33%31.05%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gillingham (Local): 36.13%; Tranmere Rovers (Visitante): 35.36%; Empate: 28.51%. Para Tranmere Rovers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.83. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.53%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV +2.53%E +0.873%K +1.33%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.09%E -6.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -1.00%E -0.359%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -13.04%E -4.27%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.52%EV -15.81%E -6.79%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -1.00%E -0.359%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -13.04%E -4.27%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -11.48%E -4.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -16.90%E -7.35%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.46%E -4.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -16.90%E -7.35%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.46%E -4.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.39%EV -6.42%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.30%EV -5.60%E -2.10%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.31%EV -5.05%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 07:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.08%EV -7.14%E -2.78%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.12%EV -6.66%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -8.19%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.08%EV -7.14%E -2.78%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.12%EV -6.66%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -8.19%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 13:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.91%EV -7.50%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.91%EV -7.50%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 10:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 11:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 14:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.94%EV -4.97%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -0.208%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 08:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.34%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 08:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.34%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 08:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.19%E -3.23%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.06%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 14:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -4.48%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 11:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -13.38%E -5.46%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.11% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.29% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.40% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.32% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.99% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |